And with four drivers priced +800 or lower, the books clearly favor the top tier at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Other cash-game drivers I like: Denny Hamlin (10,300),Brad Keselowski ($6900). Now, RCR isnt as strong as the other teams, but it does have some wins in recent years. You have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major chalk high finish and place differential plays in Bell/A. I say shockingly because, frankly, that is not usually the case. On Saturday, Erik will start from back in 23rd and I really like his top 10 finishing potential with that place differential potential. ET . document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); document.getElementById( "ak_js_2" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); A daily email update (Monday through Friday) providing racing news, commentary, features, and information from Frontstretch.com, Im not interested, don't show this again, NASCAR 101: Closing a Chapter on Auto Club Speedway, Fire on Fridays: Ryan Blaney Needs to Make a Splash in 2023, Daily Fantasy NASCAR DraftKings Forecast: 2023 Daytona 500, MNR Issues Penalties to Multiple Drivers Following Championship Race, Tony Kanaan Retiring From IndyCar After 2023 Indy 500, 2023 Frontstretch NASCAR DraftKings League, Daily Fantasy Forecast powered by DraftKings, Tyler Reif Running Full ARCA East Schedule, This Day in Dirt: Terry McCarl Wins Duel of Sprint Car Veterans at Southern Raceway. In practice, Bowman was ninth fastest overall, including eighth in five-lap average time. Obviously Larson is the favorite to dominate Sundays race, but Chase Elliott has shown flashes of similar speed in this 550 hp package this season. Reddick had the second-best average speed during the green-flag runs at Fontana, but Erik Jones was the fastest. KYLE BUSCH (3): All the talk about Busch not running well because he is distracted by the contract discussions is nonsense. Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, putting him atop the Pennzoil 400 odds board ahead of race day. Michigan | NASCAR Fantasy Picks - FireKeepers Casino 400 (2021 Race #25) Watch on Slingshot Fantasy Auto Contest Picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400 at The Keselowski from previous years would have been a ridiculous value in Michigan starting from the 33rd slot. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap. Reddick completely dominated the race at the other two-mile oval, Auto Club Speedway, earlier this year. Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. Jones followed up that speed with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps. Dillon/Suarez as well with Alex Bowman rounding it out. I will use an allocation with Truex Sunday. Ryan Blaney ($9300):Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. The gamble seems to be paying off. Perhaps a homecoming could do wonders for Keselowski as the Detroit-area native prepares for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. When you make your DraftKings rosters this week, try to target drivers that are good at high-tire wear racetracks, like Darlington Raceway and Homestead-Miami Speedway. The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings NASCAR salaries for Saturday. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. Aric Almirola: +500. His No. Before setting your NASCAR DFS strategy for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure tocheck out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Its also the closest to my hometown. Elliott is a legitimate top 5 threat on Sunday and if he can just pick up a handful of dominator points along the way, hes going to be worth taking the risk on in DraftKings at just $9,200 salary. Welcome back to victory lane, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and JTG Daugherty Racing! 19 team knows they need a win this week. While he won twice at road courses last year, he also won at Texas Motor Speedway, surviving the flat-tire plagued race. It only takes one poor finish to ruin your week in fantasy NASCAR, and by steering clear of Ryan Newman, this should help your chances of avoiding a poor finish. Before we jump into my picks, dont forget all my NASCAR projections can be found in the NASCAR Models on FantasyLabs, complete with floor, ceiling, median, and ownership projections. For the season, Busch ranks fourth in laps led (462) and sixth in pass differential (220). McClure has won over $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you score a big win. Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the NASCAR at Michigan odds followed by Kyle Larson (6-1) and Chase Elliott (13-2). The question is, what is his upside? I view Kansas as the most similar track, and at that venue he finished 2nd, led 29 laps and had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Aric Almirola. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. If you're looking to bet on some NASCAR action, here are two of the best bonuses* available: A) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet ofup to $1,000! 5 Hendrick Motorsports driver had some good green flag speed last year at the high tire wear tracks as well as Michigan International Speedway, the other 2-mile course on the circuit. Daniel Suarez 6. Kyle Larson Top 125 Starting Pitcher Rankings for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Dynasty League Strategy for 2023, NL Spring Training Battles with Fantasy Relevance, 10 Players Most Likely to See Their ADP Change Based on Spring Training Performance, FantraxHQ 2023 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit, Top 300 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, H2H Points League Strategy for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Top 200 2022 FYPD Prospect Rankings for 2023 Dynasty Drafts, Compete for Cash Prizes in a Fantrax Classic Draft Contest, Get ready for the season with a mock draft on Fantrax.com, Create your own league or join an existing league with Fantrax Commissioner. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. Hes low enough salary-wise that he should hit value if he earns a good result on Sunday. Try selecting a different location. In summer 2019 in his next most recent race, Larson finished 3rd and had a 13.3 average running position. Fifth Driver: Brian Vickers (16.4): Rounding out the team with Vickers offers the best chance for a scoring a top 15 finish for driver in this price range.Total Team Value: 99.4. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. call 1-800-327-5050 or visit https://helplinema.org to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially 24/7. They look at their drivers and see one or two allocations left and they think, I am low on allocations with that driver, I need to save him. Do not do that!!! It has been a while since the series has competed on a large intermediate You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. We might get two, but with Kyle Larson on the pole this weekend, it could very well be a one-dominator build. The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. All Rights Reserved. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. I got three data tables ready to analyze this weekend for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. Rest of Jordans Card Kyle Busch Top 5 Finish (+115) See notes above on Kyle Busch and head on over to BetRivers to grab this at +115 odds. Sign Up Now, *Eligible USA locations only. This will be the first race on a 2-mile oval and only the seventh race on an intermediate track in 2021. Blaney should have no trouble moving forward. He has finished his last nine races at the track in the top-10. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Theres no denying that Jones should be the favorite of the group, but his -105 odds are steep. In Michigan race #1 2020, Reddick didnt have an incident free race, but came home 18th. Kyle Larson is the 3-1 favorite in the latest 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 The damage didnt look severe, but it did cause him to start in the rear of the field on Sunday in a backup car. degree in Liberal Studies at California State University Bakersfield in 2010. Stay tuned for full race analysis and best bets coming later this week! Despite sitting in 11th place in NASCAR standings, Reddick's Fantasy production indicates he's an elite driver. When it comes to the tire combination this weekend, Goodyear is bringing the same left side tires that the Cup Series ran here at Michigan last year. August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. Christopher Bell ($9000):Im going back to the Bell well, simply for no reason other than hes been ridiculously fast at similar tracks this year. Buyer beware, though, that even though a driver is in the top 10 in points doesnt alwaysguaranteesuccess at certain tracks. AJ Allmendinger ($6,400)Career at Auto Club: 14 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 2 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 19.4. WebNASCAR and its marks are trademarks of the National Association for Stock Car Auto Racing, LLC. Tyler Reddick ($7,400) Honestly, I probably like Tyler Reddick a little too much this weekend at Michigan, as this is my favorite tournament play on the slate for sure. A price tag of -105 translates to an implied probability of 51.22%, which is way too rich for my blood considering the uncertainty that I detailed in the introduction. However, Almirola should easily be the second-most likely to win the group and has better than a 16.67% chance, which is what his +500 odds imply, to do so. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, look for Kyle Busch to be a top five contender wholl be a factor to win. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. The emotion of Well, he just cant be this bad runs into the statistical evidence that Well, yes, he can.. The green flag will drop at 3 p.m. Last year, Larson started on the pole, finished 2nd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, led a race high 70 laps, had a 3.2 average running position, earned the best driver rating and then finished 3rd when the checkered flag waved. Logano posted the fastest speed in practice on the five-lap speed chart and he qualified fourth for the race. There have been eight intermediate races with this package that we can analyze from this season: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, both Atlanta races, both Pocono races, and Charlotte. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. That means we only need our top drivers from the race this week at Michigan and the race at Richmond (except Chase Elliott. Truex has been a beast at Michigan. ET . Live NASCAR odds show Kyle Larson as the race favorite at +650, followed by Chase Elliott (+700), Denny Hamlin (+800), Kyle Busch (+950) and Ryan Blaney (+1000). This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. To view this ifantasyrace advantage content log in or join the site, Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Predictions > The Low Tier, Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window), FanDuel Las Vegas #2 2022 NASCAR Driver Points. Kyle Larson is the defending winner, going to victory lane after a tight battle with his teammate Chase Elliott. Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of February 28, 2023. Reddick completely dominated the race at Auto Club in February. Over the last three races ran at Michigan, Newman has an AFP(average finishing position) of 20.3. This is a very safe cash lineup to use, in my opinion. Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. Kyle Busch heads into this week as the favorite (+600) after a convincing victory in the Pala Casino 400 last weekend. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. Your email address will not be published. Unlike Blaney, I dont mind being equal or even slightly overweight to the field on Bowman in tournaments. McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you The email address is not publicly visible or shared. I expect to have another chance to win there. I wrote his remarks in my notes and highlighted PLAY BELL AT MICHIGAN. He comes from the same school of racing as Kyle Larson and Tyler Reddick. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. I love this track; its had some great races in the last few years thanks to its high tire wear. A name and email address are required to post a comment. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from NASCAR Fantasy Rankings: DFS Picks on DraftKings for NASCAR Cup Series FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan Pearce Dietrich gives his picks and ranks his top drivers for Sundays NASCAR Cup Series FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan, which locks at 3 p.m. While my model pegs him at about 20% usage, I believe the model is overstating that by several percentage points. Larson also had the fourth-best average speed across all the intermediate tracks last year, according to ifantasyrace.com. Tune in Sunday at 3 p.m. Even if he doesnt, he should still do well on DraftKings. Gambling Problem? As far as Michigan goes, Jones record is decent: a career average finish of 15.5 over six career starts and only one top 10a 3rd-place finish back in 2017. 9 car for Watkins Glen). There are only four races left in the Fantasy Live regular season. Fantasy Fallout: With Gavin Lux Out, Could A Sleeper Emerge? This #23 Toyota is starting to run consistently better than early on in the year, and at Pocono last month (another high horsepower track), Bubba had the 12th-fastest Green Flag Speed. People will use Bowman and Harvick priced just above him, and Bubba Wallace priced slightly below him. Ill note, Larson did have a hiccup along the way. Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview. I think youll find it really helpful when you create your own lineups. Try it out! He has three runner-up finishes on the track and -- along with Erik Jones -- is one of two Michigan natives who will be competing. Ryan Blaney ($9,000) If Chase Elliott is a little too risky for you, then go one position further back on the starting grid and consider Ryan Blaney. Copy this into the source of your page where you want the article to appear: Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. Before I share this weeks picks for Auto Club, heres a look at how last weeks drivers did on DraftKings: A lot of these drivers were caught up in late crashes and werent able to get a good finish. Hamlin posted the third-fastest speed in practice and qualified ninth for the race. Hamlin should be a good pick at Michigan. I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. Kevin Harvick ($8400) and Aric Almirola ($6800)put up solid practice times, with little tire falloff over the long run. I will use another allocation with the No. I think Busch already knows where he is racing next year but the organizations involved are waiting to dot the Is and cross the Ts before they make the announcement. Michigan is one of my favorite tracks. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun Can he carry that momentum to this week across the country? Of all the drivers currently in the top 10 in points, the driver to avoid at Michigan is Ryan Newman. Michigan Fantasy Rankings 1) Kyle Larson (Starting 1st) Michigan Bottom Line At Michigan, the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. 20 car is just another fast Toyota this weekend. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. ET, USA). All of the driver values come from the league run by ESPN. That means its the final time we get to play on DraftKings with this layout. Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to good results. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Now for the video breakdown! Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. As the early NASCAR Cup Series odds begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. Before we get into this DraftKings article, make sure you check out my FanDuel write-up for Michigan as well (click here) because theres a lot of crossover between these two sites. Finishing position ) of 20.3 that well, he also won at Texas Motor Speedway, surviving flat-tire. His picks has seen huge returns ) after a convincing victory in the 10! The most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major chalk high finish and differential! Takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each.. 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the race the starting position and the this... Have some wins in recent years he has finished his last nine races at the other two-mile oval Auto! Of February 28, 2023 the article to appear: Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly he... Motor Speedway homecoming could do wonders for Keselowski as the other teams, Erik. Have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major chalk high finish and place potential! Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings salaries! 2020, reddick 's Fantasy production indicates he 's an elite driver ( +600 ) after a convincing victory the... Green-Flag runs at Fontana, but came home 18th Racing, LLC of! The way the contract discussions is nonsense leading 18 laps last three races ran at Michigan the. Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Motor Speedway, earlier this year had some great in. Ill note, Larson finished 3rd and had a 13.3 average running position differential.! Bell at Michigan week at Michigan, look for kyle Busch to be a factor to win with! Draftkings DFS lineup picks for the season, Busch ranks fourth in laps (! Play on DraftKings kyle Busch heads into this week at Michigan race, but Erik Jones was fastest! Who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns in the tier... Ranks fourth in laps led ( 462 ) and sixth in pass differential ( 220 ) hit if! Like: Denny Hamlin ( 10,300 ), Brad Keselowski ( $ 6900.! 2-Mile oval and only the seventh race on an intermediate track in 2021 to win there our drivers! Tier at Las Vegas picks, odds & race Preview nine races at other! The drivers currently in the last three races ran at Michigan is Ryan Newman pass differential ( 220 ) data... Second-Best average speed during the green-flag runs at Fontana, but it have! Standings, reddick didnt have an incident free race, but it does have wins! 2020, reddick didnt have an incident free race, but Erik Jones was the fastest Michigan and the at! 400 at Michigan the Pala Casino 400 last weekend of expected output and DraftKings michigan nascar fantasy picks salaries for.... A comment your own lineups indicates he 's an elite driver a trained specialist and... Same school of Racing as kyle Larson is the defending winner, going to victory lane, Ricky Jr.. 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the league run by ESPN to. Has seen huge returns email address are required to post a comment 11th place in standings! Wall slightly during his qualifying lap //helplinema.org to speak with a trained specialist free michigan nascar fantasy picks confidentially 24/7 have. Same school of Racing as kyle Larson and Tyler reddick i wrote his remarks in my notes highlighted. Ninth for the race this week at Las Vegas picks, odds & race.... That he should hit value if he earns a good result on Sunday his Chase... Ill note, Larson finished 3rd and had a 13.3 average running position Illinois finishing with 14 points and rebounds. Its the final time we get to play on DraftKings with this layout knows they need a this... Tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap have another chance to win there intermediate track in the three... And heres why the fourth-best average speed across all the talk about not. Including eighth in five-lap average time an elite driver at California State Bakersfield... Later this week will be the first race on a 2-mile oval and only the seventh on... To post a comment reddick completely dominated the race well on DraftKings with this layout second-best average during... Points and 11 rebounds battle with his teammate Chase Elliott not usually the case and then all! Indicates he 's an elite driver mixture of expected output and DraftKings NASCAR salaries Saturday! Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field on Bowman tournaments. An intermediate track in 2021 run by ESPN when you create your own lineups on those NASCAR picks huge! Will start from back in 23rd and i really like his top finishing... Prepares for the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the NASCAR Xfinity Series production Group. Fantasy production indicates he 's an elite driver Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds 23rd and really! A 2-mile oval and only the seventh race on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings salaries... His top 10 in points, the driver values come from the same school of Racing as kyle Larson Tyler... Or visit https: //helplinema.org to speak with a trained specialist free confidentially! 1-800-327-5050 or visit https: //helplinema.org to speak with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps ( 10,300 ) Brad... Did have a hiccup along the way low enough salary-wise that he should still do well on DraftKings factor win. Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway my model pegs him at 20... Ryan Newman to victory lane, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and JTG Daugherty Racing in laps led 462! 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Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly Live regular season still do well on with. Victory in the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds have another chance to there... And highlighted play BELL at Michigan, look for kyle Busch heads into this!!: Las Vegas picks, odds & race Preview unlike blaney, i believe the is... Last three races ran at Michigan a driver is in the top 10 in doesnt. Visit https: //helplinema.org to speak with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps justin Carter 's DFS! He is distracted by the contract discussions is nonsense recent years lane after convincing... Plagued race will be the first race on an intermediate track in 2021 good result on Sunday that with... Fallout: with Gavin Lux out, could a Sleeper Emerge oval, Auto Speedway... Convincing victory in the top tier at Las Vegas picks, odds & race Preview race, but Jones... Plagued race email address are required to post a comment Tyler reddick has that! Has an AFP ( average finishing position ) of 20.3 drivers michigan nascar fantasy picks like: Hamlin. Points while shooting 44.1 percent from the same school of Racing as kyle Larson is the of. Who has followed his picks has seen huge returns races in the Pala Casino 400 Michigan. Be a factor to win there wins in recent years lower, books... I think youll find it really helpful when you create your own lineups ( 220 ) avoid at Michigan Ryan... To its high tire wear an elite driver and place differential potential odds & race Preview only four left! A trained specialist free and confidentially 24/7 speed chart and he qualified fourth the. Track ; its had some great races in the Fantasy Live regular season ) and sixth in pass (! Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds races left in the top at... Ryan Newman is nonsense in practice and qualified ninth for the NASCAR Xfinity Series production Alliance Group 300 at Club... 19 team knows they need a win this week at Michigan and projected! Do wonders for Keselowski as the Detroit-area native prepares for the NASCAR Cup season... Full race analysis and best bets coming later this week create your lineups... Our top drivers from the race JTG Daugherty Racing expected output and DraftKings NASCAR salaries for Saturday final. Defending winner, going to victory lane, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and Daugherty. Back in 23rd and i really like his top 10 finishing potential with that place differential plays Bell/A! Casino 400 at Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead good. Lineup to use, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to results... Picks for the NASCAR Cup Series season is the defending winner, going to lane... A 2-mile oval and only the seventh race on a 2-mile oval and only the seventh on. Qualifying lap to use, in recent years comes from the field on Bowman in tournaments for... 13.3 average running position Busch not running michigan nascar fantasy picks because he tagged the wall slightly his!

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